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The Pulse Jun 25

Congress passes landmark housing-supply bill; signing stalls, rates ease

The bipartisan 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act cleared both chambers by wide margins, but its signing is on hold — while the 30-year eased to the mid-6.5s and the CFPB moved on its complaint system and a 2020 fair-lending opinion.

Thursday, June 25, 2026 30-yr 6.470%10-yr Treasury 4.500%

The biggest signal today isn't a rate move — it's legislation. Congress sent the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act to the President's desk, clearing the Senate 85-5 and the House 358-32 — the most significant federal housing package in decades. The bill is supply-side: it targets local zoning barriers, streamlines federal rules that slow homebuilding, and carries riders aimed at community banks. The catch for your calendar: the planned signing ceremony was canceled, with the President saying he'll hold off until the SAVE America Act advances in Congress. So the bill is passed but not yet law, and the timing is now open-ended.

For day-to-day origination, nothing changes this week — there's no rate or guideline impact until it's signed and the agencies write rules around it. But it's worth understanding, because it's a purchase-market story: more supply, faster, is the lever that's been missing for years. If it becomes law, the effects show up over quarters, not days — more inventory and new construction chipping at the affordability squeeze that's kept first-time buyers on the sidelines. File it as a medium-term tailwind for your purchase pipeline and a genuinely useful talking point with buyers and agents who follow the headlines.

Rates, meanwhile, gave you a small gift. The 30-year eased about 10 bps on the day and sits in the mid-6.5s on Freddie's weekly read (high-6.5s on the daily retail trackers), down a touch on the week and essentially flat over the past month — not a downtrend, but a quieter, range-bound tape. The 10-year Treasury is parked at 4.50%, and the VIX ticked up toward 19.5, so there's a little more nervousness in the background without a clear catalyst behind it. With nothing forcing a move, this is a lock-or-float conversation you can have on the merits: a borrower who's clear-to-close has little reason to gamble on a range that's gone sideways.

On the regulatory side, the CFPB had a busy day. It announced an overhaul of its consumer complaint system, saying the portal has long carried flaws that limit its usefulness — worth watching if you or your company field complaints through it. Separately, the Bureau rescinded a 2020 advisory opinion touching special purpose credit programs, framing it as cleanup ahead of a coming ECOA revision; if you run or refer affordable-lending programs, keep an eye on where that revision lands. And in RESPA-land, a federal judge paused the consolidated Zillow RESPA suit and sent two parties to arbitration — a reminder that the line between marketing partnerships and referral-fee exposure is still being drawn in court.

Two smaller items for the file: a Pennsylvania broker is suing state regulators to strike down an in-state physical-office mandate he says costs him about $35,000 a year — a licensing-cost fight worth tracking if you operate across state lines — and California is now enforcing disclosure rules on AI-altered listing photos, after a study found more than 90% of altered images carried no disclosure. Both are real-estate-side, but they're the kind of compliance creep that tends to reach mortgage marketing next.

Pick three purchase clients who've been waiting for "rates to drop" and send them a short, honest note — rates have gone sideways, not down, but the bigger story is a housing-supply bill that just cleared Congress, and more inventory is the thing that actually moves their odds. Be the person who reads the whole board, not just the rate sheet.

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